Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027? is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether China’s General Secretary, Xi Jinping, will be removed from power at any point between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The forecast resolves to Yes if he resigns, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses the ability to serve as General Secretary during that timeframe; otherwise it resolves to No. The outcome matters because Xi’s position is central to China’s domestic political direction, party leadership stability, and broader world affairs. Traders in this market are weighing political continuity against the possibility of an abrupt leadership change, using credible reporting as the primary resolution source. Current market probability sits at about 7.35%, indicating that the prevailing market sentiment expects Xi to remain in power through the end of 2026, though prediction market odds can shift quickly as new geopolitical developments emerge. This event prediction is closely watched by those tracking macro geopolitics, China policy, and global risk.