US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether the actual text of the written agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 will be made widely available to the public by 11:59 PM ET on the resolution date. The market does not ask whether the deal exists or whether its contents are discussed; it specifically forecasts the release of qualifying verbatim text, whether through an official publication, leaked images, a news report reproducing the wording, or another credible disclosure. A joint statement only counts if it contains the agreement’s actual text or serves as the operative written agreement itself. The event matters because public release of diplomatic text can clarify the scope of the US-Iran agreement and shape market sentiment around the durability and substance of the peace deal. The current market probability is about 90.5%, indicating traders expect the text to be disclosed before the deadline. The forecast runs from June 15, 2026 through July 1, 2026, with resolution based on official information and a consensus of credible reporting.