Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? is a geopolitics prediction market tracking whether new free trade agreements involving the United States are enacted into law by December 31, 2026. The forecast covers agreements approved through Senate ratification and presidential approval, or through a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President, with resolution based on credible reporting. In plain terms, traders are pricing the odds that Trump will secure and finalize new trade deals with specified countries or entities before the deadline. This matters because trade negotiations can affect tariffs, market access, and the broader direction of U.S. trade policy amid ongoing trade war and geopolitics concerns. Current market probability is about 9%, suggesting sentiment is skeptical that a qualifying deal will be completed in time. The market opened on November 5, 2025 and runs through the end of 2026, making it a long-dated event prediction with attention on diplomatic progress, legislative approval, and any announced trade breakthroughs.