US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...? is a geopolitics prediction market about whether the United States and Cuba will reach an official, publicly announced agreement on trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the U.S. embargo by the resolution deadline. The event resolves Yes only if both sides formally announce a qualifying deal by 11:59 PM ET; informal statements or incomplete negotiations do not count. The forecasted outcome covers a broad range of economic and trade-related actions, including sanctions relief, changes to imports or exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other restrictions affecting U.S.-Cuba commerce. That makes the market relevant to broader debates over Cuba policy, embargo relief, and hemispheric trade relations. Current market probability is not available here, but prediction market traders are effectively pricing the odds that an official agreement will be reached before the end date. The market runs from March 13, 2026 through June 30, 2026, giving participants a defined window to assess diplomatic signals, market sentiment, and credible reporting around any U.S.-Cuba breakthrough.