US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...? is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Cuban territory will be announced or credibly reported by the listed deadline. The forecast resolves to Yes only if a qualifying strike physically impacts the terrestrial territory of Cuba, including rivers, lakes, or ports, and excludes intercepted weapons, naval shelling, artillery, ground incursions, and cyberattacks. The market runs from January 4, 2026 through December 31, 2026 ET, with credible reporting as the primary resolution source. This event matters because it sits at the intersection of US-Cuba tensions, regional security, and broader Caribbean geopolitics, with possible relevance to Venezuela-related developments given the market tags. Current market probability is 0%, indicating traders assign no meaningful chance of a qualifying strike at present, though prediction market odds can change quickly as market sentiment shifts. As a geopolitical forecast, the listing captures whether any US military or intelligence operatives are reported to have conducted a strike on Cuban soil before the deadline.