Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? is a prediction market asking whether Ukraine will officially schedule a nationwide referendum on a peace deal related to the Russo-Ukrainian war by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event turns on a simple forecast: will a relevant Ukrainian government authority publicly announce a legal date for a peace referendum before the deadline? In this market, a qualifying schedule must be officially set and announced; later legal challenges would not change the outcome.

The event matters because it sits at the intersection of Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky, Putin, and the broader geopolitics of the war, making it a closely watched signal for any possible peace process. As of the latest data, market probability is shown at 0%, suggesting traders currently assign no chance to the expected outcome, though sentiment can shift quickly as negotiations or official statements emerge. The market uses official Ukrainian government information as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a backup. For election prediction market and event prediction watchers, this listing tracks whether a peace referendum becomes formally scheduled before the January deadline.