Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? is a geopolitics prediction market that asks whether Donald Trump will publicly announce that the United States should officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz by a new name including "Trump"—such as "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait"—by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves "Yes" only if that announcement is made, with the primary resolution source being Trump’s own public statements and, if needed, credible reporting. This event matters because the Strait of Hormuz is a strategically important shipping lane tied to Iran, regional security, and global energy flows, so any naming change would carry political and diplomatic significance. Current market probability is about 25%, suggesting traders see the event as possible but not the expected outcome. The forecast window runs from the market’s start on April 17, 2026 through the May 31 deadline, and market sentiment will likely reflect developments in Trump, Iran, and broader Middle East geopolitics.