Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

"Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?" is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether President Trump, the US government, or the US military will publicly and officially state that no ceasefire between the United States and Iran is in effect by the market deadline of 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. The forecast is narrowly focused on a qualifying announcement, not on whether hostilities actually resume or whether a prior ceasefire simply expires. Traders are watching for an official statement from Donald Trump, a public US government or military declaration, or other credible reporting that clearly says the ceasefire commitment has ended. References to violations, breaches, leaks, or unnamed sources do not count. Current market probability is about 5.15%, suggesting sentiment leans strongly toward a No resolution. As a prediction market event in the Iran and Middle East category, it reflects broader uncertainty around US-Iran relations, ceasefire language, and the durability of any diplomatic or military restraint during the forecast window, which runs from June 9, 2026 through the June 30 deadline.