Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...? is a geopolitics prediction market that asks whether Spain’s Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, will be removed from power within the market’s timeframe. The event resolves to Yes if Sánchez resigns, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses the ability to serve as prime minister for any period between December 2, 2025 and the listed end date; otherwise it resolves to No. The market is based on a consensus of credible reporting, making the outcome dependent on verifiable political developments rather than commentary or speculation. As of the latest data, traders assign the event a probability of 8.75%, indicating relatively low market expectations for Sánchez leaving office during the period. For prediction market participants, the listing reflects broader market sentiment around Spanish politics, leadership stability, and the likelihood of a sudden change in government. Because the forecast spans an extended timeline through the end of 2026, odds may shift as new political, legal, or parliamentary developments emerge.