Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...? is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether Masoud Pezeshkian will cease to be President of Iran before the market’s end date on December 31, 2026. The forecast resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed from office, detained, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out presidential duties at any point between market creation and the deadline. It also resolves immediately if an official announcement of resignation or removal is made before expiry, even if the change takes effect later. The resolution will rely primarily on official information from Pezeshkian and the government of Iran, with credible reporting potentially used as supporting evidence. As of the latest update, traders are assigning about a 21.5% probability to the Yes outcome, indicating market sentiment that the expected outcome is still more likely to be No. This event is relevant to Iran politics, Middle East geopolitics, and broader event prediction markets tracking leadership stability and regime developments.