Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether Iran will publicly commit to ending all uranium enrichment by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The forecast matters because a formal pledge would signal a major shift in U.S.-Iran and broader Middle East nuclear tensions, with implications for diplomacy involving Iran, the U.S., Israel, and related negotiation topics. For this event prediction to resolve to Yes, Iran must make a public agreement or pledge to end enrichment entirely before the deadline; partial limits, caps, or reductions below weapons-grade levels do not qualify. The market can resolve from a unilateral announcement or as part of a broader deal or peace process, even if the agreement is not fully finalized. Current market sentiment prices the probability at about 40.5%, suggesting traders see the expected outcome as possible but far from certain. As a prediction market, this listing reflects evolving odds based on credible reporting and trader assessment through the July 31 resolution date.