How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on weekly shipping traffic through one of the world’...

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on weekly shipping traffic through one of the world’...

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on weekly shipping traffic through one of the world’s most strategic oil chokepoints. The forecast resolves using IMF Portwatch’s finalized transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz from June 8, 2026, through June 14, 2026, covering container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Because the strait is central to global energy flows, traders often watch this kind of event prediction for signals about regional risk, maritime disruption, and market sentiment around Iran, Hormuz, and oil logistics. The current market probability is about 2.05%, suggesting traders assign a very low chance to the expected outcome being relatively high compared with the market’s threshold or target range. The market opens on June 5, 2026 and is scheduled to end on June 14, 2026, with resolution based on the published IMF Portwatch data once the final date in the period is finalized. For search engines and prediction market users, this event tracks real-world shipping activity rather than headlines, making the underlying data source essential to the forecast.
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Market opened
Jun 5, 2026, 10:56 PM
Last synced
Jun 16, 2026, 1:06 PM
Resolution target
Jun 14, 2026, 3:00 AM
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