Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June? is a geopolitics prediction market that asks traders to forecast the finalized 7-day moving average of ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz on June 30, 2026, using IMF Portwatch data. The event focuses on the average number of Arrivals of Ships reported for the strait, covering container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker vessels. Because the Strait of Hormuz is a critical oil shipping route, the outcome is closely watched for signals about regional shipping conditions, Iran-related tensions, and broader energy-market risk. The market will resolve once the relevant IMF Portwatch figure is finalized, with special rules if data is delayed or revised. If the reported value falls between two brackets, resolution goes to the higher range. Current market probability is about 39%, indicating traders see a moderate chance of the expected outcome. The active forecast period runs through the end of June, making this an event prediction tied to maritime traffic, oil geopolitics, and market sentiment around one of the world’s most important chokepoints.