How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? is a geopolitics prediction market that tracks the number of distinct countries where the United States carries out qualifying military strikes during the 2026 calendar year. The forecast focuses specifically on drone, missile, or air strikes that hit another country’s ground territory and are officially acknowledged by the US government or supported by a consensus of credible reporting. Strikes on embassies or consulates are counted by the country where they are located, while attacks in territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025 do not count. The market excludes intercepted missiles or drones, surface-to-air missile strikes, artillery, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, and other non-qualifying actions. Active from November 13, 2025 through December 31, 2026, this event prediction matters because it offers a structured read on US foreign policy risk, escalation dynamics, and global conflict exposure. Current market probability data is not available here, but traders are using the prediction market to assess the expected outcome and broader market sentiment around US military activity in 2026.