How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? is a geopolitics prediction market asking traders to forecast the number of distinct countries whose territory Israel will hit with a qualifying drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. The market resolves based on credible reporting and counts strikes on sovereign soil, while excluding the West Bank, Gaza Strip, Israeli-controlled territory as of the end of 2025, intercepted missiles or drones, and non-qualifying actions such as artillery, ground incursions, cyberattacks, or naval shelling. Embassies and consulates are counted by the country where they are located, not the country they represent.

This event matters because it sits at the intersection of Israel, Iran, the Middle East, and wider global politics, where each new cross-border escalation can shift market sentiment quickly. As a prediction market, it reflects the odds that traders assign to different levels of regional military activity over the year. The current market probability is not provided, but activity and open interest suggest sustained attention to the geopolitical forecast through the end of 2026.