Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? is a geopolitics prediction market that asks whether Reza Pahlavi will physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran before June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The event matters because it tracks a potentially significant development involving Reza Pahlavi, Iran, Israel, and broader Middle East politics, with traders forecasting whether this high-profile figure will actually visit the country during the market window. Under the market rules, entry into Iranian airspace or maritime territory does not count; only a physical visit to Iranian land will resolve the event to Yes. The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. The market opens on January 3, 2026 and runs until the June 30 deadline, giving traders a clear timeframe for event prediction and updating odds. Current market probability is 0%, indicating that the market currently assigns no expected chance of a qualifying visit, though sentiment can change as new reporting emerges.