GeopoliticsVance

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether a named U.S. representative will hold an in person diplomatic meet...

Active market Resolves May 31, 2026 Trending higher
Who will meet with Iran by May 31?
24h Volume
$12.2K
7d Volume
$73K
Liquidity
$44K
Open Interest
$42.3K
Trend Score
36.8K

Forecast Overview

Who will meet with Iran by May 31? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether a named U.S. representative will hold an in-person diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market deadline on May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The forecast is narrowly defined: the individual must be physically present, actively negotiating on behalf of the United States, and the meeting must be publicly acknowledged or confirmed by credible reporting. Remote calls, brief encounters, and unofficial contact do not qualify.

This event matters because US-Iran diplomacy can influence broader regional tensions, ceasefire efforts, and the direction of negotiations involving the Trump administration’s foreign policy team. Tags and related entities such as Vance, Witkoff, Kushner, Rubio, and Iran Ceasefire suggest traders are tracking which official may become the key interlocutor. As of the latest market data, the current probability is about 85%, indicating strong market sentiment that the expected outcome will occur. In prediction market terms, traders appear to assign high odds to a qualifying diplomatic meeting before the end date, making this a closely watched event prediction in geopolitical forecasting.

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Timeline

Market opened

Apr 30, 2026, 9:44 PM

Last synced

May 30, 2026, 1:31 PM

Resolution target

May 31, 2026, 3:00 AM

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