Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether another country will formally sign a normalization agreement with Israel under the Abraham Accords framework by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event is centered on Middle East diplomacy, Israel’s regional relations, and the possibility of new official agreements being publicly acknowledged by both governments. The market resolves "Yes" only if a country signs such an agreement within the stated timeframe; otherwise it resolves "No." In prediction market terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome based on official statements and credible reporting, with the resolution source relying primarily on government announcements. Current market probability stands at 11.5%, suggesting relatively low odds that a new country will join the accords before the deadline. Relevant search terms include Abraham Accords, Israel, Gaza, Middle East, and geopolitical forecast, making this a useful event page for monitoring market sentiment around normalization efforts and broader regional politics.