U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether the United States will announce the reopening of its embassy in Damascus, Syria, or otherwise confirm that the mission has been reopened by the specified deadline. The market resolves to Yes if an official U.S. government announcement is made within the timeframe, even if the physical reopening occurs later, and it also counts a reopening at any location in Damascus. General diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial steps do not qualify. This makes the event a straightforward forecast of a concrete policy move in U.S.-Syria relations, with official statements from the U.S. and Syrian governments, plus credible reporting, used as resolution sources. The market is active from November 14, 2025 through December 31, 2026. Current market probability is 0%, indicating traders see no immediate expectation of reopening. As a Middle East event prediction, it reflects market sentiment around diplomatic normalization, consular access, and the broader geopolitical outlook for Syria.