Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

"Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is a geopolitics prediction market in the Middle East category tracking whether Donald Trump will meet with Mojtaba Khamenei before the market’s deadline of 11:59 PM ET on the listed end date. The event resolves to Yes only if credible reporting confirms a direct, in-person interaction between the two individuals, such as a conversation, handshake, or other clear personal exchange. Simply appearing in the same venue is not enough.

This forecast matters because any Trump-Khamenei meeting would be a significant development in U.S.-Iran relations and broader Middle East politics, especially given the market’s reference to Iran and an Iran ceasefire context. Traders are currently assigning a high probability of about 85% to the expected outcome, suggesting the market sentiment leans strongly toward a meeting occurring before resolution. As with any prediction market, that probability reflects current odds and event prediction activity, not certainty. The resolution will rely on consensus credible reporting.