June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) is a weather prediction market focused on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026. Traders are forecasting the June anomaly reported by NASA’s Global Temperature Index, with the market resolving to the corresponding range bracket once the official data is published. The primary resolution source is NASA’s table "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius," specifically the June 2026 value in the 2026 row. If NASA’s temperature index is unavailable permanently, alternative NASA information may be used, and if no June 2026 figure is released by August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket.

This event matters because global temperature data is a widely watched climate indicator and a key signal in the broader weather and science category. Current market probability is about 2.2%, suggesting traders see a low likelihood for the higher-temperature outcome implied by the listed contract. As a result, market sentiment currently reflects relatively modest expected odds for this event prediction.