How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25? is a geopolitics prediction market forecasting the total number of transit calls recorded by IMF Portwatch across the Strait of Hormuz from May 25, 2026, through June 1, 2026. The event focuses on reported ship traffic in one of the world’s most strategically important waterways, where tanker, container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, and general cargo movements can reflect broader market sentiment around regional stability, oil flows, and maritime risk. Only transit calls published by IMF Portwatch count toward resolution, and the market will settle once the final date in the period is finalized under the source’s reporting rules. The event starts on May 22, 2026 and ends on June 1, 2026. Traders currently assign it a 30.5% probability, indicating a measured forecast rather than a certain expected outcome. As a prediction market, it provides a real-time view of odds and event prediction around shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz, a route closely watched for its geopolitical and energy-market implications.