ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026 is a prediction market on how the European Central Bank will change the upper bound of the deposit facility rate after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting. The forecast focuses on the size of the move in basis points versus the rate level in place before the meeting, with any off-grid outcome rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution. If the ECB does not publish an interest rate decision or update by July 31, 2026, the market resolves to the “No change” bracket.

This economy and interest rates event matters because the ECB’s policy decision can shape borrowing costs, inflation expectations, and broader market sentiment across Europe and the global rates complex. Traders in the prediction market are currently assigning a 15% probability to the event’s tracked outcome, indicating relatively low odds while leaving room for changes in expectation as the meeting approaches. Resolution will rely on official ECB releases and the bank’s published interest rates page, making this a straightforward event prediction tied to one of Europe’s most closely watched economic policy announcements.