China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026? is a prediction market on China’s year-over-year Gross Domestic Product growth rate for the second quarter of 2026. The event will resolve from the National Bureau of Statistics of China’s “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP” release, scheduled for July 16, 2026, with the initial reported figure used for resolution. Traders are forecasting the country’s macroeconomic momentum, making this a closely watched economy and macro indicators event prediction for analysts tracking Chinese growth, policy conditions, and broader global market sentiment. The market is not pricing in a sharp move at this stage: current probability is 2.15%, indicating traders see a relatively low chance of a very specific outcome under the market’s bracketed resolution rules. If the reported GDP growth figure falls exactly between two brackets, the higher range bracket will apply. If the Q2 2026 data is not released on time, the market will resolve using the last available quarter once the next quarter’s data is due. As with other economic forecast markets, the outcome depends entirely on the official government release, not later revisions.