10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

The prediction market "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?" asks whether at least one earthquake with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher will occur anywhere on Earth before the market’s deadline. The event runs from December 8, 2025, through December 31, 2026, with a possible extension to January 31, 2027 if a qualifying quake has occurred but has not yet appeared in the official record. Resolution is based on the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program, with a 24-hour window after any qualifying event to account for magnitude revisions. This weather and science market sits within natural disasters forecasting, where traders are assessing the odds of an extremely rare seismic event. Current market probability is about 4.5%, indicating that market sentiment leans heavily toward a No resolution, though the forecast remains open until the deadline. As a prediction market tied to earthquakes and climate & science, it draws attention to how participants price low-probability, high-impact events using public seismic data and event prediction timelines.