Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

"Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is a politics prediction market that asks whether Donald Trump will sign a formal executive order on the specified calendar date, in ET. The market resolves "Yes" only if an executive order is published on the White House presidential actions page or in the White House press pool; announcements or other executive actions do not count. If no qualifying order appears by 12:00 PM ET the following day, the forecast resolves to "No." The event runs from April 30, 2026 through May 31, 2026, and it is part of the Trump daily political forecast category.

For traders and observers of political prediction markets, this event reflects market sentiment around the likelihood of a White House executive action on a given day. The current market probability is 100%, indicating the market is fully pricing in a Yes outcome, though that remains subject to the event’s resolution rules and official confirmation. This listing is relevant for users tracking Trump, executive orders, political odds, and event prediction activity across the Politics category.