Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? is a political prediction market focused on whether a named individual will sign a written agreement involving both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves Yes only if the listed person signs the deal in an official capacity, whether by physical or officially issued electronic signature, and the agreement includes both countries as parties. The outcome does not require representatives of the U.S. or Iran to be the signatories, as long as the agreement qualifies under the rules. This event sits within the Politics category and Trump subcategory, reflecting broader market attention on U.S.-Iran diplomacy, peace deal prospects, and geopolitical negotiations. Current market probability is about 10.5%, indicating traders assign a relatively low but non-zero chance of a qualifying signature before the deadline. As an event prediction, it will likely draw market sentiment from official government statements and credible reporting on diplomatic progress, making it relevant for forecast tracking and political odds analysis.