US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether the U.S. federal government will acquire a qualifying equity stake in Spirit Airlines, or in one of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast resolves to Yes only if there is an official federal announcement of a completed acquisition or a binding agreement to complete one within the market timeframe; speculation or non-binding statements do not count. Because the event centers on direct ownership, voting shares, or equivalent equity interests, it is being tracked closely by traders watching government involvement in business and economy-related outcomes. Current market probability stands at about 15%, suggesting low but non-zero odds that the expected outcome will occur. With the market active through the spring 2026 deadline, sentiment will likely remain sensitive to credible reporting, federal actions, and any Spirit Airlines-related announcements. This prediction market sits at the intersection of politics, Trump-era policy expectations, and corporate ownership changes.