Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by the market’s deadline? This politics prediction market asks whether Donald Trump, the United States government, or the U.S. military will formally announce that Project Freedom has been restarted by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Project Freedom refers to a U.S.-led military initiative designed to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway central to U.S.-Iran geopolitics and maritime security. The forecast resolves to “Yes” only if there is a definitive announcement, either using the Project Freedom name or describing a substantially equivalent U.S. military program to protect, escort, or retrieve commercial vessels in or through the Strait of Hormuz. Non-committal comments, planning signals, or expressions of openness do not qualify. As a political forecast tied to the Strait of Hormuz and broader Iran-related tensions, the event draws attention from traders watching U.S. foreign policy, military posture, and escalation risk. Current market probability is not shown in the data, so the event’s odds should be interpreted through market sentiment and incoming official announcements before the end date.