US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? is a political prediction market asking whether there will be an in-person diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed deadline, 11:59 PM ET on April 30, 2026. The forecast resolves to Yes only if the meeting is deliberate, authorized, and publicly acknowledged by either government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting; remote calls, informal contact, and chance encounters do not count. This makes the event a focused test of US-Iran diplomatic engagement rather than broader geopolitical signaling. Market sentiment in this prediction market has been heavily one-sided, with the current probability at 0%, suggesting traders see little expectation of a qualifying meeting before the end date. Because the contract includes indirect meetings through approved mediators as valid, the event prediction also reflects how negotiations may unfold beyond direct face-to-face talks. As a politics and geopolitics market, it is closely watched for signals about Iran ceasefire dynamics, U.S. foreign policy, and broader regional diplomacy.