Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

“Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?” is a Politics prediction market that asks traders to forecast the country hosting the next in-person diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran. The market resolves based on the first qualifying session held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with official government acknowledgments or credible media reporting used for resolution.

The event matters because any US-Iran meeting can signal movement on foreign policy, nuclear negotiations, regional security, or broader geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Middle East diplomacy. The rules also allow indirect meetings through authorized mediators, while remote calls, casual encounters, or unofficial talks do not count. If no qualifying meeting occurs by the deadline, the outcome resolves to “No Meeting by June 30.”

Current market probability is about 35.75%, suggesting traders see a meeting in one of the listed locations as possible but far from certain. The prediction market’s odds and sentiment may continue to shift as diplomatic developments emerge over the event window, which runs from April 12, 2026 through June 30, 2026.