Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? is a political prediction market asking whether President Donald Trump will announce that he has resigned, or will resign, the presidency by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Trump makes that announcement by the deadline; if he does not, or if resignation becomes impossible for resolution purposes, the outcome is No. Because the question hinges on a public announcement rather than the actual act of leaving office, the forecast focuses on official statements and credible reporting. The event is part of the Politics category, under Trump, and is being tracked as a political forecast with event prediction implications for traders following Trump presidency odds. As of the latest market data, the probability of a Yes outcome is about 6.5%, suggesting market sentiment leans strongly toward No while still assigning some chance to an unexpected resignation announcement before the end-of-2026 deadline.