Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will make a public statement that insults, mocks, or...

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will make a public statement that insults, mocks, or...

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31? is a political prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will make a public statement that insults, mocks, or attacks a listed individual before the market closes on May 31. The forecast is based on any written, verbal, or recorded public remark that clearly targets a person in a negative personal or professional way, such as an insulting nickname, derogatory language, or a direct attack that is reasonably identifiable from context. Policy disagreements without personal disparagement do not count. This event matters because it turns Trump’s public rhetoric into a measurable event prediction, giving traders a way to express market sentiment on how often he may target specific figures. As of the latest reading, the market implies about a 6.5% probability of a qualifying insult by the deadline. Resolution will rely on a consensus of credible reporting, making the end date and public record central to the outcome.
Market Access
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Market opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:32 AM
Last synced
May 30, 2026, 1:37 PM
Resolution target
May 31, 2026, 3:00 AM
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