Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30? is a political prediction market asking which person, if any, Donald Trump will publicly mock, attack, or insult before the deadline. The market resolves to Yes only if Trump makes a public written, spoken, or recorded statement that clearly targets a listed individual in a personally negative way, such as using derogatory language, an insulting nickname, or direct character attacks. General policy criticism or disagreements without disparaging language do not count, making the resolution rules especially important for traders following the forecast.

This event matters because Trump’s public remarks are often closely watched for signals about campaign strategy, messaging style, and intra-party tensions. Market sentiment currently implies a low expected outcome, with probability around 3.9%, though prediction market odds can shift quickly as new comments or reporting emerge. The market opened on May 26, 2026 and runs until June 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, with the final resolution based on a consensus of credible reporting. As a political forecast, it sits at the intersection of Trump, politics, and culture, and attracts traders tracking event prediction dynamics around high-profile public statements.