Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

"Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" is a political prediction market asking which individual Donald Trump will first publicly name as his pick for Director of National Intelligence. The event focuses on the first official announcement from Trump or the Trump administration that explicitly presents someone as the nominee or future nominee for DNI; a formal presidential nomination to the U.S. Senate also qualifies. Media speculation, interim appointments, or general discussion of possible candidates will not resolve the market. This forecast matters because the Director of National Intelligence is a key role in overseeing the U.S. intelligence community and shaping national security policy. The market is currently pricing the expected outcome at about 16.5% probability for the listed option, reflecting trader sentiment rather than a certainty. The prediction window runs through December 31, 2026, and if no qualifying announcement is made by then, the market resolves to "No announcement by December 31."