Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

“Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?” is a prediction market tied to Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, scheduled for October 4, 2026. The event asks which candidate will move on to the runoff round if no one wins outright in the first round, or who wins the presidency directly if a first-round victory occurs. In plain terms, traders are forecasting the expected outcome of Brazil’s presidential race and whether any listed candidate can secure one of the top two runoff spots. The market is relevant because Brazil is one of the world’s largest democracies, and the result will shape national politics, policy direction, and the broader election landscape in Latin America. Market sentiment currently implies a probability of 3.45%, reflecting the odds assigned by traders at the time of review. The market begins on September 18, 2025 and is set to resolve based on the official result after the election, with the deadline extending to June 30, 2027 if the outcome is not definitively known sooner. Resolution will follow credible reporting, or the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE) if there is ambiguity.