Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff is a political prediction market focused on the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff election. The market asks traders to forecast how many canvass votes are reported in the runoff, rather than who wins the race. It is tied to the Texas Senate contest and references key Republican figures and primary dynamics in Texas, including Paxton and Cornyn, making it relevant to broader election and turnout analysis.

The runoff was scheduled for May 26, 2026, and the market is set to resolve using official statewide results from the State of Texas, such as data published by the Texas Secretary of State. If the final vote total lands exactly between two brackets, the higher range bracket will be used. If results are still unavailable by November 30, 2026, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket.

Current market probability is about 5%, indicating low expected odds for the lower-probability outcome being priced. As an event prediction, this listing reflects market sentiment around turnout levels in a Texas Senate Republican primary runoff and how participation may shape the final canvass count.