Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets) is a political prediction market focused on how wide the winning margin will be in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff. The forecast centers on the absolute difference in valid vote percentages between the first- and second-place candidates, with the market resolving to a larger bracket if the reported margin falls exactly between two ranges. The runoff is scheduled for May 26, 2026, and the market will use the official Texas vote count once results are certified by the State of Texas or confirmed by strong credible reporting. If a recount delays certification, the event remains open until the result is official. Traders are watching a contest tied to Texas Senate, US elections, and the Republican primary environment, with Cornyn and Paxton among the relevant political names associated with the race. Current market probability is about 1.85%, suggesting traders assign a low chance to the specific bracket outcome reflected in this listing. As a prediction market event, it captures market sentiment on the expected outcome and margin of victory rather than simply who wins the runoff.