Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027? is an election prediction market asking whether Donald Trump will cease to be President of the United States at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The forecast resolves to Yes if Trump resigns, is removed from office, or otherwise permanently stops serving as president during the market’s timeframe. Temporary removal, impeachment without removal, or an unsuccessful 25th Amendment process do not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4, would qualify as a Yes outcome. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. As of the latest update, the market probability is about 11.5%, suggesting traders currently assign relatively low odds to this event prediction. Because this is a politics and elections market, sentiment may shift with major developments involving Trump, the White House, Congress, or broader geopolitical events. The market opened on November 5, 2025 and runs through the end of 2026, making it a long-dated election forecast with continuing relevance for political risk watchers and prediction market traders.