Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election is a prediction market on who will win France’s next presidential election, expected around April 2027. The market covers the full French voting process, including the possibility of a second round runoff, and resolves to the candidate who is ultimately confirmed as the winner. Under France’s two-round system, a candidate must win more than 50% in the first round to avoid a runoff between the top two contenders. If the result is still unclear by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to "Other."

This event matters because the French presidency is one of the most influential offices in European politics, shaping domestic policy, EU relations, and France’s role in global affairs. Market sentiment currently gives this event a probability of 5.5%, reflecting trader expectations in the election forecast. The event is active from November 2025 through April 30, 2027, making it a long-duration election prediction market for monitoring odds, candidate momentum, and changing outlooks as the race develops.