Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...? is a political prediction market on whether Keir Starmer will cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between February 2 and December 31, 2025. The forecast resolves to “Yes” if Starmer leaves office for any period during that window, and it can also resolve early if there is an official resignation or removal announcement before the end date. Resolution will rely on the UK government, with credible reporting also accepted. As a UK politics event, this market draws attention to leadership stability, cabinet confidence, and the potential for a change in government during a major electoral cycle. The current market probability is 0%, which suggests traders are assigning very low odds to a departure in the resolution period, though prediction market sentiment can change quickly as political conditions evolve. The event starts on February 3, 2025 and runs through December 31, 2025, making it a year-long political forecast for traders following Starmer, UK politics, and event prediction markets.