Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the most seats in Quebec’s 125-seat National Assembly in the 2026 Quebec general election. The vote is scheduled for October 5, 2026, and the market is set to resolve to the party with the greatest number of seats, based on official results from Élections Québec if needed. If the election is delayed beyond January 31, 2027, the market resolves to "Other." This makes the event a focused forecast of the expected outcome in a major Canadian elections contest, with resolution tied to seat totals rather than popular vote alone.

As of the latest market data, the implied probability for the leading outcome is about 24.5%, suggesting traders have not settled on a clear favorite and market sentiment remains open. That uncertainty is typical in election prediction markets, where odds can shift as campaign conditions, polling, and reporting change. For users following world elections, politics, and Canada-related event prediction markets, this listing tracks who is expected to win the most seats in Quebec’s next provincial election.