Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? is a prediction market in the ELECTIONS category that asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia at any point between market creation and the June 30 deadline. The forecast resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed, detained, or otherwise permanently prevented from serving in office during the specified timeframe; otherwise it resolves to No. The market also allows an immediate Yes resolution if an official resignation or removal is announced before the end date, even if it takes effect later. This event matters because it tracks political stability in Russia and wider geopolitics involving Russia and Ukraine. As of the latest market data, traders price the probability at about 1.55%, indicating a very low expected outcome for a change in leadership before the deadline. Market sentiment therefore suggests the No side is strongly favored, though prediction markets can move as new reporting emerges. The event closes on June 30, 2026, making the timing of any official announcement or credible reporting especially important for resolution.