NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner is a prediction market on who will win the Democratic nomination for New York’s 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives for the 2026 midterm elections. The market tracks the outcome of the Democratic primary, which is scheduled for June 23, 2026, and resolves to the candidate officially nominated by Democratic Party sources. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."

This event matters because House primary races can shape the eventual general-election field and reflect broader market sentiment within the Elections category. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome based on candidate strength, party endorsements, and primary dynamics, with current market probability standing at 20.5% for the leading outcome shown. As with any election prediction market, the odds may shift as new polling, campaign developments, or official announcements emerge before the deadline. The resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic sources, including democrats.org.