Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 is a politics prediction market forecasting who will receive the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The market resolves to the official winner, with special rules for joint recipients and several prioritized individuals, including Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, and Elon Musk. If no official announcement has been made by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to Other. This event matters because the Nobel Peace Prize is one of the most closely watched global awards, often reflecting market sentiment around diplomacy, conflict resolution, and international influence. Traders are pricing in a relatively low expected outcome for any single candidate, with current market probability at 8.5%. As a prediction market, it captures shifting odds and event prediction interest across politics, awards, geopolitics, and world affairs. The market opens on October 16, 2025 and is scheduled to end on October 10, 2026, ahead of the official Nobel announcement cycle.