New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026? is a prediction market on whether the World Health Organization (WHO) will officially declare any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The event asks traders to forecast a public-health outcome based on official WHO announcements, with resolution determined only by that source. As a World category market tied to science, pandemics, and global health, it highlights a major uncertainty that can affect governments, healthcare systems, travel, and international policy. The forecast is straightforward: if the WHO makes a qualifying pandemic declaration during the 2026 window, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. Current market probability is about 10.5%, suggesting traders see a new pandemic in 2026 as possible but not the base-case expected outcome. The market remains active through the end of 2026, giving participants time to reassess odds as health conditions and market sentiment change over the year.