Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?" is a political prediction market asking whether Mojtaba Khamenei, a prominent figure in Iran’s ruling establishment, will be confirmed to have left Iran for any length of time by the resolution deadline. The event focuses on a simple binary forecast: traders are pricing the odds of a "Yes" outcome if credible reporting confirms he exited Iranian territory or airspace in a way that meets the market rules, and "No" if no such confirmation appears by 11:59 PM ET on April 30, 2026. This market sits in the Politics category under Khamenei and is closely tied to broader questions about Iran, the supreme leader’s circle, and regime stability. Because resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting, market sentiment will likely track news coverage, official statements, and geopolitical developments rather than speculation alone. The current market probability is 0%, indicating no active consensus on a confirmed departure at this time.