Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...? is a political prediction market asking whether Sébastien Lecornu will stop serving as Prime Minister of France for any period between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The event focuses on the stability of Emmanuel Macron’s government after Lecornu was first named prime minister on September 9, resigned on October 6 following intense opposition to his cabinet, and was then reappointed on October 10 to form a new government. In plain terms, traders are forecasting whether Lecornu will again leave office before the market deadline, based on credible reporting and any resignation or removal announcement made before expiration. As a France-focused politics event, it reflects broader market sentiment around Macron’s ability to maintain a functioning cabinet amid parliamentary and public pressure. The current market probability is not provided in the data, but the active forecast remains relevant for traders following French political developments, event prediction, and government stability in the World/Politics category.