Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round? is a prediction market focused on how many valid votes Iván Cepeda will win in Colombia’s first-round presidential election. The event matters because Colombia’s election is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a possible second round on June 21 if no candidate exceeds 50% of valid votes. This market does not ask whether Cepeda wins the presidency outright; it forecasts his individual vote share in the first round, based solely on the official count, even if he is associated with a broader coalition. Traders are currently assigning a 2.65% probability to the listed outcome, reflecting market sentiment and the present odds in this election forecast. The market remains open through the first-round voting period, and if results are delayed or a recount is required before the tally is official, resolution can extend until the count is finalized. If the election outcome is still unknown by December 31, 2026 ET, the market resolves to the lowest range bracket.