India strike on Pakistan by...?

"India strike on Pakistan by...?" is a Politics prediction market asking whether India will initiate a qualifying drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory before October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes only if Indian military forces launch an aerial bomb, drone, cruise missile, or ballistic missile that impacts Pakistani territory; intercepted weapons, surface-to-air strikes, artillery, cyberattacks, or ground operations do not count under the event rules. The forecast matters because it tracks a major India-Pakistan geopolitical risk that could affect regional stability and global market sentiment. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, making this a news-driven event prediction rather than a policy or diplomatic outcome. Current market probability is 0%, suggesting traders are assigning no immediate odds to a qualifying strike at the moment. The event is active in the Politics category and remains relevant for prediction market participants following India-Pakistan tensions, geopolitical escalation, and military action forecasts.